The curious thing about the various plans hatched in the ’90s is that they were, at base, all the same plan: “Here’s how we’re going to preserve the old forms of organization in a world of cheap perfect copies!” The details differed, but the core assumption behind all imagined outcomes (save the unthinkable one) was that the organizational form of the newspaper, as a general-purpose vehicle for publishing a variety of news and opinion, was basically sound, and only needed a digital facelift. As a result, the conversation has degenerated into the enthusiastic grasping at straws, pursued by skeptical responses.
Read more of Clay Shirky's thoughts here.
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A writer at the San Francisco Chronicle responds to Shirky and others drumming newspaper's death march here. He basically says they have no idea what they're talking about because no one knows what's going to happen.
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